Curse

xshadowwolfx · Jan 03, 2008, 01:50 AM // 01:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ogrefist Hellchaser

you know 4million ppl play gw... probably a bunch arnt playing cuz of family and holidays... lets assume thats a total of 20,000 people did the quests. 0.0001% of 20,000 is.................2. so i dont see how people expect to see like 20 of em being reported seeing as not every1 uses GwGuru, or the Wiki's for taht matter

Guild Wars has around 1 million players. Lets assume 100,000 played during Wintersday. Out of those 40,000 played the quest at least once. Then of those 20,000 did the second quest. Theres the 8,000 or so players that are doing 50 runs a piece.

This is pure guessing and has no real basis, but whatever imaginary numbers I come up with I can't think of the number of dungeon runs any less than 200,000 over the twelve days. Either there's a lot of missing Polar Bears or the drop rate is insane, similar to that of Ghostly.

I would guess maybe its 1/100,000

Shanaeri Rynale · Jan 03, 2008, 01:51 AM // 01:51

According to Gaile, this is been an available drop since the start of wintersday. Now since this is the first we've seen of one(and grats btw) either the drop rate is rarer than a non Ursan team or DoA OR they only started dropping today which is a little odd seeing as it goes tomorrow.

It's a great idea, I just hope that it's a super rare drop and not a bug that only made it drop in the last few hours.

xshadowwolfx · Jan 03, 2008, 01:53 AM // 01:53

Even if it remains super rare I would like to see it drop from the wintersday past chest. This will only increase its supply and not really affect its rarity, if that makes any sense. Like the Ghostly, people complete HoH every 15mins.

ThunderStruck · Jan 03, 2008, 01:54 AM // 01:54

I'm honestly GLAD ANet put this Polar Bear in the game with an obscene drop rate... everything was becoming too common (for the most part). There needs to be more of these "one-in-a-million" type items, IMO.

Antitorgo · Jan 03, 2008, 01:54 AM // 01:54

Quote:

Originally Posted by Witchblade

btw, even if i am sure to get a negative answer...

can we get a lil more % info from dat file?

Percentages are based server side -- so no.

azizul1975 · Jan 03, 2008, 01:54 AM // 01:54

hah? polar bear? 1000000e..Most I Do...Most I Do....lol

j/k

Witchblade · Jan 03, 2008, 01:55 AM // 01:55

wait a minute !!!!

i didnt get Lucky points at alll

/troll

Shakti · Jan 03, 2008, 01:56 AM // 01:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by Witchblade

wait a minute !!!!

i didnt get Lucky points at alll

/troll

Greedy

1212121212

Cherrie · Jan 03, 2008, 01:58 AM // 01:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThunderStruck

I'm honestly GLAD ANet put this Polar Bear in the game with an obscene drop rate... everything was becoming too common (for the most part). There needs to be more of these "one-in-a-million" type items, IMO.

I don't see any reason for 1-in-a-1m items.. any. And defenetly not in a game ANet claims GW to be.

Ogrefist Hellchaser · Jan 03, 2008, 01:58 AM // 01:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by xshadowwolfx

Guild Wars has around 1 million players. Lets assume 100,000 played during Wintersday. Out of those 40,000 played the quest at least once. Then of those 20,000 did the second quest. Theres the 8,000 or so players that are doing 50 runs a piece.

This is pure guessing and has no real basis, but whatever imaginary numbers I come up with I can't think of the number of dungeon runs any less than 200,000 over the twelve days. Either there's a lot of missing Polar Bears or the drop rate is insane, similar to that of Ghostly.

I would guess maybe its 1/100,000

I'm sure i read on guild wars.com that they were "proud to announce" that they crossed the 4 mil mark.... either way.. im gna farm this till the end of wintersday and longer.. 24 hours longer actually cuz then im gna get kicked from the server

i swear the second i logg off sum1 is gna get the bear on their first try

Run #61.... no bear
off to run #62

Dante the Warlord · Jan 03, 2008, 02:00 AM // 02:00

lol does anyone think that maybe you don't NEED the quest to get the polar bear? Maybe just going into the dungeon is good enough? Looks cool and reminds me of those polar bears from that new film...wats it called.... golden compass. If not, then wow that will be one RARE pet, more then ghostly hero.

Hott Bill · Jan 03, 2008, 02:00 AM // 02:00

I'm on run 43................................................ ..........this sux

xshadowwolfx · Jan 03, 2008, 02:01 AM // 02:01

Actually here's a better number of how many played during Wintersday.

Each district can hold around 150 people. Kamadan and Lion's Arch combine averaged about 140 districts. 150x140 = 21,000 per finale who cared enough to play during Wintersfest. There were 10 finales and its a guess that out of the average 21,000 people at least for 6,000 it was their first time.

So...6,000x10 + 15,000 = 75,000. With 75,000 rounded down to 70,000 players who cared enough about wintersday. 50,000 of them did two of the quests and 5,000 of them did the quests 50 times.

Roughly the chest has been opened 250,000 times over Wintersfest?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ogrefist Hellchaser

I'm sure i read on guild wars.com that they were "proud to announce" that they crossed the 4 mil mark.... either way.. im gna farm this till the end of wintersday and longer.. 24 hours longer actually cuz then im gna get kicked from the server

i swear the second i logg off sum1 is gna get the bear on their first try

Run #61.... no bear
off to run #62

Okay 250,000 multiply that by at least 2...500,000...Rare mini.

My personal opinon is that the chest has been opened a lot more though.

Polgara Val · Jan 03, 2008, 02:02 AM // 02:02

On average how long does your run last guys? I am assuming most of you are doing the Strength of the Snow quest?

Pol

xshadowwolfx · Jan 03, 2008, 02:03 AM // 02:03

10-15mins roughly

pygar · Jan 03, 2008, 02:04 AM // 02:04

Congratz witchblade

If u wanna hit the real jackpot with yur Polar Bear, dont sell it.....charge people admmision to see it instead

Saelis Scarfang · Jan 03, 2008, 02:05 AM // 02:05

I don't mind it being uber rare, I just would rather have known it existed so we could all bust our asses farming for it instead of finding out on the last day that it does and then not have any more time to do the quest.

I'm at work now.. wonder if I should wake my boyfriend at home to force him to farm for a polarbear now.. lol.

Congratulations Witchblade! Funny how people point out stuff like pixels and whatnot.. then offer no apologies whatsoever. I stared at the M for ages wondering how I couldn't see that it's off by a few pixels.. Lol.

I want a teddy!

Angel Puriel · Jan 03, 2008, 02:05 AM // 02:05

Grats Witchblade. I have just 1 question for you:

Were you serious about selling it? Or was your thread in High End just a way to show it off? I was just curious, not that I can buy it or anything.

Leslie · Jan 03, 2008, 02:05 AM // 02:05

wonder if you need to have killed ursula the white in the kamadan grenth quests first to be eligible to obtain the mini ursula? :/

Fidelity · Jan 03, 2008, 02:05 AM // 02:05

5 mins to get to the last bit, then upto 10 mins if i go afk and let Freezie and the others kill the grentches.